Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JIPPO · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
JäPS are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while JIPPO are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and JIPPO hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Ykkösliiga, while JIPPO holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JIPPO
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
JIPPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60