Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FF Jaro · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
JäPS are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while FF Jaro are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FF Jaro hold a 17.8-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 64.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.1% in the Ykkösliiga, while FF Jaro holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FF Jaro
Probability
56.1%
Model confidence
56.1%
FF Jaro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80