Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
EIF · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
JäPS are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while EIF are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and EIF hold a 25.6-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 71.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.7% in the Ykkönen, while EIF holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
EIF
Probability
59.7%
Model confidence
59.7%
EIF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20