Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
EIF · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
JäPS 1-0 EIF
Original prediction
EIF
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.69 | 33.6% | 33.6% | -0.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.3% | 27.2% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.26 | 40.1% | 39.2% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
EIF
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
EIF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JäPSLWDLL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
EIFDDLLW
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
JäPSEIF
30.4Attack40.6
50.7Defence49.3
46.4Form40.6
44.6Power45.0
1.00xG1.10