Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JäPS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
JäPS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while EIF are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.8 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the Ykkösliiga, while JäPS holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JäPS
Probability
35.1%
Model confidence
14.7%
JäPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40