Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
JäPS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while EIF are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.8 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.2% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.2%
Model confidence
35.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60