Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Budaörs · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Újpest II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Budaörs are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Budaörs hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (41.9 v 53.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the NB III - Northwest, while Budaörs holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Budaörs
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Budaörs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 12 · avg 2.80/2.40
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80