Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Újpest II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Újpest II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while BKV Előre are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Újpest II hold a 65.6-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 31.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Újpest II holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Újpest II
Probability
56.9%
Model confidence
56.9%
Újpest II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40