José Bonifáciovs
Tupa
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista Série B · 5/24/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
José Bonifácio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
José Bonifácio are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Tupa are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and José Bonifácio hold a 25.5-point power-rating edge (67.1 v 41.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.4% in the Paulista Série B, while José Bonifácio holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
José Bonifácio
Probability
73.3%
Model confidence
16.4%
José Bonifácio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60