José Bonifáciovs
Assisense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista Série B · 6/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
José Bonifácio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
José Bonifácio are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Assisense are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and José Bonifácio hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (67.1 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.6% in the Paulista Série B, while José Bonifácio holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
José Bonifácio
Probability
60.4%
Model confidence
15.6%
José Bonifácio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40