GGOALVIO

Australia · Western Australia State League 1 · 4/4/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Joondalup City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

Joondalup City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Subiaco are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Joondalup City hold a 20.8-point power-rating edge (58.3 v 37.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.5% in the Western Australia State League 1, while Joondalup City holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Joondalup City

Probability

67.2%

Model confidence

8.5%

Joondalup City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Joondalup CityLWLLD

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
SubiacoLLWLD

GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Joondalup CitySubiaco
58.7Attack54.0
50.8Defence27.0
60.3Form27.0
58.3Power37.5
3.03xG1.40
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