Western Australia State League 1Western Australia State League 1
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 15:03
Joondalup City

Joondalup City

Home
L
32
Full time
Murdoch Melville

Murdoch Melville

Away
W
Iluka Sports Complex
GoalVio prediction
44% confidence
Joondalup City(40%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Joondalup City
40%
Draw
35%
Murdoch Melville
25%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Joondalup City
34
Murdoch Melville
94
Defence
Joondalup City
6
Murdoch Melville
27
Momentum
Joondalup City
0
Murdoch Melville
100
Danger (xG)
Joondalup City
0.90
Murdoch Melville
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Joondalup City)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Murdoch Melville)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Joondalup City)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Murdoch Melville)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Joondalup CityJoondalup City
L
Murdoch MelvilleMurdoch Melville
W

Probability breakdown

44% confidence
Joondalup City40%
Draw35%
Murdoch Melville25%

Joondalup City leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Joondalup City head into this in Western Australia State League 1 fixture at Iluka Sports Complex in mixed form (L), while Murdoch Melville arrive in mixed form (W). Joondalup City have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Murdoch Melville over 1 games.

The model rates Joondalup City's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Murdoch Melville defence, and Murdoch Melville's attack at 94/100 against a 6/100 Joondalup City backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Joondalup City have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Murdoch Melville have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Joondalup City and Murdoch Melville in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Joondalup City to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Joondalup City 4006%, Draw 3500%, Murdoch Melville 2494%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Joondalup City

Joondalup City

L
@ Cockburn City
16 May 2026
13
Murdoch Melville

Murdoch Melville

W
@ Curtin University
16 May 2026
32

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Joondalup City vs Murdoch Melville?

GoalVio's model predicts Joondalup City to win with 44% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Joondalup City vs Murdoch Melville?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Joondalup City vs Murdoch Melville?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Joondalup City vs Murdoch Melville?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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