Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jonsered · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Jonsered are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Astrio are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Jonsered hold a 33.6-point power-rating edge (56.4 v 22.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.2% in the Division 2 - Västra Götaland, while Jonsered holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jonsered
Probability
81.8%
Model confidence
11.2%
Jonsered has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 2 · GA 16 · avg 0.40/3.20