GGOALVIO

Sweden · Ettan - Södra · 9/6/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jonkopings Sodra · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Jonkopings Sodra 0-1 Tvååker

Original prediction

Jonkopings Sodra

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4662.1%53.1%-9.0 pts
Draw4.1621.7%25.3%3.6 pts
Away5.5916.2%21.6%5.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-9.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–014%
  2. 2.1–114%
  3. 3.0–013%

Predicted outcome

Jonkopings Sodra

Probability

53.1%

Model confidence

53.1%

Jonkopings Sodra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jonkopings SodraWDDWL

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
TvååkerDWWLW

GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Jonkopings SodraTvååker
46.7Attack34.4
55.6Defence56.7
48.9Form41.1
52.0Power45.6
1.32xG0.82
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