Jonkopings Sodravs
Skövde AIK
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Södra · 9/21/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skövde AIK · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jonkopings Sodra 3-2 Skövde AIK
Original prediction
Skövde AIK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 58.5% | 36.2% | -22.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 23.9% | 26.9% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 5.12 | 17.5% | 36.9% | 19.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Skövde AIK
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Skövde AIK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.40/0.20
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40