GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 4/3/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jonkopings Sodra · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Jonkopings Sodra are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Orebro SK are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Jonkopings Sodra hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 37.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.2% in the Superettan, while Jonkopings Sodra holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jonkopings Sodra

Probability

49.2%

Model confidence

49.2%

Jonkopings Sodra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jonkopings SodraLDWWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Orebro SKDDWWD

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Jonkopings SodraOrebro SK
47.8Attack27.8
36.7Defence48.1
34.4Form27.8
41.8Power37.6
1.62xG0.95
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