GGOALVIO

Sweden · Ettan - Södra · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jonkopings Sodra · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Jonkopings Sodra 0-1 Eskilsminne

Original prediction

Jonkopings Sodra

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6554.8%48.8%-6.0 pts
Draw3.7724.0%26.6%2.6 pts
Away4.2621.2%24.6%3.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-6.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–013%
  3. 3.2–011%

Predicted outcome

Jonkopings Sodra

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

48.8%

Jonkopings Sodra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jonkopings SodraLWWDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
EskilsminneLDWLL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Jonkopings SodraEskilsminne
44.4Attack25.0
66.7Defence58.3
66.7Form16.7
62.6Power36.5
1.53xG0.88
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