Jong Utrechtvs
VVV Venlo
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 9/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VVV Venlo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (7%), 1-2 (7%), 2-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jong Utrecht 1-3 VVV Venlo
Original prediction
VVV Venlo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 38.6% | 28.4% | -10.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.6% | 20.9% | -4.7 pts |
| Away | 2.59 | 35.7% | 50.7% | 15.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–37%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.2–37%
Predicted outcome
VVV Venlo
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
50.7%
VVV Venlo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20