Jong Utrechtvs
Roda
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 10/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Roda · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jong Utrecht 1-2 Roda
Original prediction
Roda
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.88 | 23.9% | 23.2% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 24.0% | 24.0% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 1.78 | 52.0% | 52.7% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Roda
Probability
52.7%
Model confidence
52.7%
Roda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Jong UtrechtLLWWD
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
RodaDLWDW
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Jong UtrechtRoda
53.3Attack33.3
23.3Defence73.3
23.3Form53.3
33.7Power55.8
0.92xG1.52