Jong Utrechtvs
Jong Ajax
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 9/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jong Ajax · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jong Utrecht 6-1 Jong Ajax
Original prediction
Jong Ajax
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 42.1% | 34.6% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 24.1% | 21.6% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.74 | 33.8% | 43.8% | 10.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Jong Ajax
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Jong Ajax has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60