Jong Utrechtvs
Heracles
SCHEDULEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 8/24/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Heracles · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Jong Utrecht are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Heracles are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and heracles hold a 48.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 72.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Eerste Divisie, favouring Heracles with 11.4% confidence, a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Heracles
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
11.4%
Heracles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20