Jong Utrechtvs
FC Eindhoven
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 9/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Eindhoven · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jong Utrecht 0-0 FC Eindhoven
Original prediction
FC Eindhoven
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 42.3% | 35.7% | -6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 25.1% | 24.2% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 32.6% | 40.1% | 7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.70 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
FC Eindhoven
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
FC Eindhoven has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40