Jong PSV U21vs
Jong AZ
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 9/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jong PSV U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 1-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jong PSV U21 1-1 Jong AZ
Original prediction
Jong PSV U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 37.7% | 41.5% | 3.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.00 | 23.1% | 21.0% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.36 | 39.1% | 37.5% | -1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.1–26%
Predicted outcome
Jong PSV U21
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Jong PSV U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40