Jong PSV U21vs
Jong Ajax
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 8/31/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jong PSV U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jong PSV U21 1-1 Jong Ajax
Original prediction
Jong PSV U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 60.0% | 49.9% | -10.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.61 | 20.1% | 22.0% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 4.68 | 19.8% | 28.1% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.61 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Jong PSV U21
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Jong PSV U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 10 · GA 16 · avg 2.00/3.20