Jong PSV U21vs
Dordrecht
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 10/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jong PSV U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jong PSV U21 0-1 Dordrecht
Original prediction
Jong PSV U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 44.0% | 63.3% | 19.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 24.3% | 17.3% | -6.9 pts |
| Away | 2.93 | 31.7% | 19.4% | -12.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Jong PSV U21
Probability
63.3%
Model confidence
63.3%
Jong PSV U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20