Jong PSV U21vs
Den Bosch
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 9/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jong PSV U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jong PSV U21 3-1 Den Bosch
Original prediction
Jong PSV U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 47.4% | 46.4% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 23.4% | 23.3% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.18 | 29.1% | 30.4% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.96 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Jong PSV U21
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Jong PSV U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00