GGOALVIO

Netherlands · Eerste Divisie · 8/31/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jong AZ · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Jong AZ are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Jong Utrecht are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Jong AZ hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 31.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely result in the Eerste Divisie, favouring Jong AZ with 12.3% confidence, a 50% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jong AZ

Probability

71.9%

Model confidence

12.3%

Jong AZ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jong AZWLLLW

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Jong UtrechtLWDWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Jong AZJong Utrecht
54.4Attack28.1
46.5Defence35.1
49.1Form22.8
50.7Power31.5
2.43xG0.78
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