Jong AZvs
Jong Utrecht
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 8/31/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jong AZ · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jong AZ 2-1 Jong Utrecht
Original prediction
Jong AZ
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 58.7% | 55.2% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.42 | 21.0% | 21.9% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 4.57 | 20.3% | 23.0% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Jong AZ
Probability
55.2%
Model confidence
55.2%
Jong AZ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80
GF 5 · GA 18 · avg 1.00/3.60