Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 10:01
Jong AZ

Jong AZ

Home
W
30
Full time
Jong Ajax

Jong Ajax

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Jong AZ35%
Draw35%
Jong Ajax30%
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: Jong AZ
Win probability
Jong AZ
35%
Draw
35%
Jong Ajax
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Jong AZ
94
Jong Ajax
9
Defence
Jong AZ
91
Jong Ajax
6
Momentum
Jong AZ
100
Jong Ajax
0
Danger (xG)
Jong AZ
2.70
Jong Ajax
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Jong AZ)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (Jong Ajax)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Jong AZ)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Jong Ajax)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Jong AZJong AZ
W
Jong AjaxJong Ajax
L

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Jong AZ35%
Draw35%
Jong Ajax30%

Jong AZ leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Jong AZ head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (W), while Jong Ajax arrive in mixed form (L). Jong AZ have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Jong Ajax over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Jong AZ's elite attack (94/100) faces a vulnerable Jong Ajax defence (6/100), while Jong Ajax's attack is up against a watertight Jong AZ backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Jong AZ's favour.

Jong AZ have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Jong Ajax have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

Jong AZ have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Jong AZ to win with 38% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Jong AZ 3518%, Draw 3500%, Jong Ajax 2982%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Jong AZ 1Draws 00 Jong Ajax
Avg goals: 3.0
17 Jul 2026
Jong AZ
W30
Jong Ajax

Recent form

Jong AZ

Jong AZ

W
vs Jong Ajax
17 Jul 2026
30
Jong Ajax

Jong Ajax

L
@ Jong AZ
17 Jul 2026
03

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Jong AZ vs Jong Ajax?

GoalVio's model predicts Jong AZ to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Jong AZ vs Jong Ajax?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Jong AZ vs Jong Ajax?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Jong AZ vs Jong Ajax?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more