Jong Ajaxvs
Helmond Sport
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 8/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jong Ajax · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jong Ajax 3-2 Helmond Sport
Original prediction
Jong Ajax
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 43.5% | 40.9% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 25.1% | 25.1% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.95 | 31.4% | 34.0% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Jong Ajax
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Jong Ajax has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20