Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trakai II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Jonava are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Trakai II are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Trakai II hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 55.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the 1 Lyga, while Trakai II holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Trakai II
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Trakai II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/2.00
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50