Jonavavs
Neptūną Klaipėda
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 5/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Neptūną Klaipėda · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Jonava are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 4.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Neptūną Klaipėda are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Neptūną Klaipėda hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 61.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the 1 Lyga, while Neptūną Klaipėda holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Neptūną Klaipėda
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
14.5%
Neptūną Klaipėda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 22 · GA 9 · avg 4.40/1.80
GF 18 · GA 7 · avg 3.60/1.40