GGOALVIO

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 5/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Neptūną Klaipėda · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Jonava are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 4.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Neptūną Klaipėda are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Neptūną Klaipėda hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 61.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the 1 Lyga, while Neptūną Klaipėda holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Neptūną Klaipėda

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

14.5%

Neptūną Klaipėda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JonavaLLWDW

GF 22 · GA 9 · avg 4.40/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 5/5
Neptūną KlaipėdaWWLLW

GF 18 · GA 7 · avg 3.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
JonavaNeptūną Klaipėda
40.0Attack47.4
56.7Defence64.9
38.3Form66.7
46.3Power61.7
0.86xG1.19
View match centre →