GGOALVIO

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 8/21/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jonava · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Jonava are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FA Šiauliai II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Jonava hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 28.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the 1 Lyga, while Jonava holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jonava

Probability

67.3%

Model confidence

14.3%

Jonava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JonavaLWWLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FA Šiauliai IIDWLLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
JonavaFA Šiauliai II
40.4Attack29.8
57.9Defence28.1
40.4Form19.3
47.5Power28.8
1.99xG0.66
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