Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dainava · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Jonava 0-1 Dainava, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Jonava 0-0 Dainava
Original prediction
Dainava
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.92 | 30.6% | 24.9% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.2% | 27.4% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.17 | 41.2% | 47.8% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.5 pts
Projected Score
Jonava 0–1 Dainava
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Dainava
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Dainava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JonavaWLLLW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DainavaLLDDW
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
JonavaDainava
39.4Attack52.4
57.6Defence68.3
39.4Form57.1
46.9Power59.7
0.78xG1.28