GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Do Brasil · 3/10/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Joinville are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while São Bernardo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and São Bernardo hold a 19.8-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.5% in the Copa Do Brasil, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

34.7%

Model confidence

16.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JoinvilleWLLLW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
São BernardoWDWLD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
JoinvilleSão Bernardo
16.7Attack33.3
83.3Defence100.0
50.0Form77.8
53.0Power72.8
0.93xG0.96
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