JoinvillevsSanta Catarina

Joinville are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Santa Catarina are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Catarina hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (54.2 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 27.3% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.