GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Santa Catarina · 9/23/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Joinville · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Joinville are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 1.33 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Internacional SC are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WLD), averaging 2.67 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.7 against 51.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Copa Santa Catarina, while Joinville holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Joinville

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

Joinville has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JoinvilleWLL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 1.33/2.00

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
Internacional SCWLD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 2.67/2.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
JoinvilleInternacional SC
63.0Attack66.7
44.4Defence37.0
48.1Form44.4
52.7Power51.0
2.44xG1.93
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