Catarinense U20Catarinense U20
Monday, 29 June 2026Last updated 14:55
Joinville U20

Joinville U20

Home
L
01
Full time
Nação U20

Nação U20

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
44% confidence
Nação U20(44%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Prediction correct— Result: Nação U20
Win probability
Joinville U20
29%
Draw
28%
Nação U20
44%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Joinville U20
9
Nação U20
73
Defence
Joinville U20
66
Nação U20
66
Momentum
Joinville U20
0
Nação U20
100
Danger (xG)
Joinville U20
0.00
Nação U20
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Joinville U20)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Nação U20)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Joinville U20)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Nação U20)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Joinville U20Joinville U20
LL
Nação U20Nação U20
WW

Probability breakdown

44% confidence
Joinville U2029%
Draw28%
Nação U2044%

Nação U20 leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Joinville U20 head into this in Catarinense U20 fixture in mixed form (L), while Nação U20 arrive in mixed form (W). Joinville U20 have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Nação U20 over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Joinville U20 (66/100) and Nação U20 (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Joinville U20 have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Nação U20 have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

Nação U20 have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Nação U20 to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Joinville U20 2850%, Draw 2770%, Nação U20 4380%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Joinville U20 0Draws 01 Nação U20
Avg goals: 1.0
29 Jun 2026
Joinville U20
L01
Nação U20

Recent form

Joinville U20

Joinville U20

L
@ Concórdia U20
6 Jul 2026
01
L
vs Nação U20
29 Jun 2026
01
Nação U20

Nação U20

W
vs Concórdia U20
11 Jul 2026
21
W
@ Joinville U20
29 Jun 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Joinville U20 vs Nação U20?

GoalVio's model predicts Nação U20 to win with 44% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Joinville U20 vs Nação U20?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Joinville U20 vs Nação U20?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Joinville U20 vs Nação U20?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more