Johvi PhoenixvsTartu Kalev

Johvi Phoenix are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tartu Kalev are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Kalev hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (51.8 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.5% in the Esiliiga B, while Tartu Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 95% BTTS chance and 97% for over 2.5 goals.