Johvi PhoenixvsTartu Kalev

Johvi Phoenix are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Tartu Kalev are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Kalev hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 56.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the Esiliiga B, while Tartu Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 93% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.