Johvi Phoenixvs
Tartu Kalev
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 5/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tartu Kalev · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-4
Johvi Phoenix are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Tartu Kalev are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Kalev hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (51.8 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the Esiliiga B, while Tartu Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 95% BTTS chance and 97% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tartu Kalev
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Tartu Kalev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 13 · avg 2.60/2.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40