Johvi Phoenixvs
Tartu Kalev
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 3/16/2024, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tartu Kalev · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-4
Johvi Phoenix are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Tartu Kalev are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Kalev hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 56.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the Esiliiga B, while Tartu Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 93% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tartu Kalev
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Tartu Kalev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 2.50/1.50
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60