GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 3/16/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tartu Kalev · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-4

Highconfidence

Johvi Phoenix are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Tartu Kalev are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Kalev hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 56.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the Esiliiga B, while Tartu Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 93% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tartu Kalev

Probability

47.3%

Model confidence

47.3%

Tartu Kalev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Johvi PhoenixLW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 2.50/1.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 2/2
Tartu KalevLWDWL

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Johvi PhoenixTartu Kalev
72.5Attack89.9
24.6Defence34.8
50.7Form53.6
50.6Power56.5
3.21xG4.03
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