Johvi Phoenixvs
Tallinna Kalev II
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 9/14/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Johvi Phoenix · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-3 (6%), 4-2 (6%), 3-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Johvi Phoenix 4-3 Tallinna Kalev II
Original prediction
Johvi Phoenix
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.49 | 60.1% | 56.9% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.64 | 19.3% | 16.9% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 4.35 | 20.6% | 26.2% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–36%
- 2.4–26%
- 3.3–36%
Predicted outcome
Johvi Phoenix
Probability
56.9%
Model confidence
56.9%
Johvi Phoenix has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60