Johvi Phoenixvs
Narva U21
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 10/11/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Narva U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (7%), 2-3 (7%), 1-4 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Johvi Phoenix 0-1 Narva U21
Original prediction
Narva U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.59 | 34.8% | 24.4% | -10.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.09 | 22.0% | 18.9% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 2.09 | 43.2% | 56.7% | 13.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–37%
- 2.2–37%
- 3.1–47%
Predicted outcome
Narva U21
Probability
56.7%
Model confidence
56.7%
Narva U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 13 · avg 3.00/2.60
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40