Johvi Phoenixvs
JK Tabasalu
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Johvi Phoenix · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-2 (7%), 4-1 (7%), 5-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Johvi Phoenix 3-2 JK Tabasalu
Original prediction
Johvi Phoenix
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.22 | 73.0% | 70.6% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 6.52 | 13.7% | 13.3% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 6.74 | 13.3% | 16.0% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–27%
- 2.4–17%
- 3.5–27%
Predicted outcome
Johvi Phoenix
Probability
70.6%
Model confidence
70.6%
Johvi Phoenix has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 13 · avg 3.00/2.60
GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40