Johor Darul Takzim FCvs
Penang
COMPLETEDMalaysia · FA Cup · 10/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Johor Darul Takzim FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Johor Darul Takzim FC 4-1 Penang
Original prediction
Johor Darul Takzim FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.28 | 75.7% | 60.9% | -14.8 pts |
| Draw | 7.06 | 13.7% | 19.9% | 6.2 pts |
| Away | 9.15 | 10.6% | 19.1% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.4–17%
Predicted outcome
Johor Darul Takzim FC
Probability
60.9%
Model confidence
60.9%
Johor Darul Takzim FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 27 · GA 3 · avg 5.40/0.60
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00