Johor Darul Takzim FCvs
Buriram United
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Elite · 9/15/2026, 12:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Johor Darul Takzim FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Johor Darul Takzim FC 1-1 Buriram United
Original prediction
Johor Darul Takzim FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 55.7% | 46.2% | -9.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.9% | 23.0% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 4.51 | 20.5% | 30.8% | 10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.87 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Johor Darul Takzim FC
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Johor Darul Takzim FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 27 · GA 1 · avg 5.40/0.20
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60