Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Firpo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Jocoro are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Firpo are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Firpo hold a 38.5-point power-rating edge (41.0 v 79.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.4% in the Primera Division, while Firpo holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Firpo
Probability
57.4%
Model confidence
57.4%
Firpo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.67/4.00
GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 0.50/0.00