Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dragón · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Jocoro are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 4.20 conceded, while Dragón are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DLW), averaging 1.33 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dragón hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (41.0 v 48.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the Primera Division, while Dragón holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dragón
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Dragón has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 21 · avg 0.80/4.20
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 1.33/2.00