JKT Tanzaniavs
Mbeya City
COMPLETEDTanzania · Ligi kuu Bara · 10/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JKT Tanzania · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
JKT Tanzania 2-1 Mbeya City
Original prediction
JKT Tanzania
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 54.6% | 40.4% | -14.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.2% | 28.7% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 5.20 | 17.3% | 30.9% | 13.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
JKT Tanzania
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
JKT Tanzania has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20