GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 3/5/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Viimsi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

JK Tabasalu are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Viimsi are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (WDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Viimsi hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Esiliiga A, while Viimsi holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Viimsi

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

45.5%

Viimsi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JK TabasaluWDWLL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ViimsiWDWW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
JK TabasaluViimsi
75.0Attack56.1
35.2Defence66.7
50.9Form57.6
53.1Power60.1
1.64xG2.11
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